Finding a way out in such a contingency
Analytical
Despite the loud voices that on April 9 in terms of political struggle and in general, all struggle died out, however, some were quick to state April 9 as a day of defeat. April 9 can be a force that will provide the flight spring. But this power for a spring can become Raffi Hovannisian, who yesterday left for Moscow.
Thus, the fact that Raffi Hovannisian left for Moscow in order to bring back a victory of people, puts forward two causal version.
First, if the government or, in other words, the circumstances put Raffi Hovannisian's imperative to bring the victory of people from Kremlin, it is likely, that both Raffi Hovannisian had a problem of recognition, and Serzh Sargsyan when he left for Moscow to confirm depending on the existence of New Armenia. That is, in this case the Russian Federation once again is dominant in any event.
But in another version (there are rumors that Raffi Govhannisyan's visit to Moscow was initiated by official Moscow) also explicitly stresses the effect of isolation and the first option.
However, there is one more thing: if Raffi Hovannisian was invited to Moscow, though officially, then wither Raffi Hovannisian will bring the victory of people from Moscow, or the created victory in Armenia will eventually disappear, and the citizen of Armenia once again will be left with nothing.
Otherwise Raffi Hovannisian will bring with him the whole package of leader of the opposition, which would include all the necessary features for the opposition leader, and possibly a high level of competition in the fight for election of Yerevan Council of Elders.
In addition to the aforementioned options, there can be another, although unlikely, option: a visit to Moscow may be just an excuse to give a sense of seriousness and rally on April 12, then the option of bluffing can again fill Freedom Square, thus giving a chance of salvation to Raffi Hovhannisyan as a politician.
In case of all of these options appear, however, the phenomenon of the Russian filtration, which seems to have become an eternal companion of the Armenian reality with its Customs and the Eurasian Union. It's a coincidence or not, to avoid it becomes meaningless.
Gevorg Avetisyan


















































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